PROGNOSTIC MODEL OF THE UKRAINE SYSTEM OF GENERAL SECONDARY EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT: FORECASTING SCENARIOS OF THE DEVELOPMENT

Abstract

The article is presented the exploratory prognostic model for the further forecasting scenarios of Ukraine system of general secondary education development. The structure of this model covers several components, namely: prognostic information on the system of general secondary education; goals (direction) of its development; internal (profile) and external (background) factors affecting it; the most promising scenarios of the development of this system, resulting in qualitative exploratory analysis of the above structural components. The article is presented four forecasting scenarios Ukraine system of general secondary education development (optimistic, first realistic with positive profile characteristics, second realistic with positive background characteristics and pessimistic), described the content of each forecasting scenario, and indicated the main external and internal factors, which will contribute to its implementation.